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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12

Format example to post your predictions

1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7714 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!
 
   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.
 
   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn
 
   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov
 
   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖
 
   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 271 OF 285 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Jan-16-21  Messiah: <lostemperor: Wait a minute <Messiah> who is Justin and Angry in your predictions? Carlsen and Firouzja!? :o>

Yes, exactly.

Jan-16-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Yes, exactly.> refering to?
Jan-16-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  offramp:
1. Carlsen
1. Vachier-Lagrave
3. Firouzja
3. Duda
3. Caruana
6. Giri
6. Donchenko
8. Harikrishna
9. Wojtaszek
9. Esipenko
11. Guijaro
12. Grandelius
13. Tari
14. VanForeest
Jan-17-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Here we we go!

<TATA STEEL CHESS MASTER 2021 ROUND 1 UPDATE

<Round 1

Harikrishna - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Esipenko - Duda 1/2
Grandelius - Donchenko 1-0
Caruana - Van Foreest 1/2
Giri - Aryan 1-0
Wojtaszek - Anton 1/2
Carlsen - Firouzja 1-0

<STANDINGS 1:
1. Carlsen 1
1. Grandelius
1. Giri
4. Caruana 0.5
4. VachierLagrave
4. Esipenko
4. Harikrishna
4. Duda
4. Wojtaszek
4. VanForeest
4. Guijarro
12. Firouzja 0
12. Tari
12. Donchenko>
>
>

Jan-17-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS
THE PREDICTIONS

ABSOLUTE RANKER 1

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

59,lostemperor
54,OhioChessFan
54,WinKing
~~~~
53,Golden Executive
42,Diademas
42,WannaBe
40,offramp
39,Messiah
36,Penguincw

♔♕♖♖♖♖♖♕♕♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♔♔♔

SQUARE RANKER 1

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

689,lostemperor
678,OhioChessFan
677,WinKing
~~~~
643,Golden Executive
559,WannaBe
556,Messiah
554,Diademas
543,offramp
454,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

PAIR BETTING RANKER 1

Earnings,UserID

$22.87,Penguincw
$20.81,Golden Executive
$15.63,lostemperor
~~~~
$-1.17,OhioChessFan
$-3.34,WinKing
$-8.95,Messiah
$-12.96,offramp
$-15.27,Diademas
$-17.63,WannaBe

Jan-17-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$9.00,Caruana-equal-Duda, offramp

$9.00,Caruana-equal-VachierLagrave, Golden Executive

$9.00,Duda-equal-Harikrishna, Golden Executive

$9.00,Duda-equal-VachierLagrave, Diademas

$9.00,Esipenko-equal-Guijarro, WannaBe

$9.00,Esipenko-equal-VanForeest, WinKing

$9.00,Esipenko-equal-Wojtaszek, offramp

$9.00,Grandelius-above-Caruana, Penguincw

$9.00,Grandelius-above-Firouzja, Penguincw

$9.00,Guijarro-equal-VanForeest, Golden Executive

$9.00,Harikrishna-above-Firouzja, Penguincw

$9.00,Harikrishna-equal-VanForeest, WannaBe

$9.00,VachierLagrave-equal-VanForeest, lostemperor

$9.00,VanForeest-equal-Wojtaszek, Golden Executive

Jan-17-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Keyser Soze> Sorry, your predictions cannot be counted in because of a last minute change in Tata line up Dubov -> Donchenko, which you missed.
Jan-17-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Can you "replace "for me and count like they are the "same" , for gaming purposes?

I dont mind.

Jan-17-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Keyser Soze> Will do!
Jan-17-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Keyser Soze: Thanks yoda!
Jan-17-21  WinKing: Good call <lostemperor>. The right thing to do.

The 'force' is definitely with you, your kicking our butts.

Jan-17-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Yes, I second that. Good call <lostemperor> on allowing the replacement thing.
Jan-18-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: yes the last minute replacement for Dubov was unfortunate and if no one or few had it, I would have cancelled Dubov or Donchenko altogether. But since almost everyone got the replacement, this is the only thing I can do.
Jan-18-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS MASTERS ROUND 2 UPDATE<

Vachier-Lagrave - Firouzja 1/2
Anton - Carlsen 1/2
Aryan - Wojtaszek 1/2
Van Foreest - Giri 1/2
Donchenko - Caruana 0-1
Duda - Grandelius 0-1
Harikrishna - Esipenko 1/2

<standings:
1. Grandelius
2. Carlsen
2. Giri
2. Caruana
5. VachierLagrave
5. Esipenko
5. Harikrishna
5. Guijarro
5. Wojtaszek
5. VanForeest
11. Duda
11. Firouzja
11. Tari
14. Donchenko>
>
>

Jan-18-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS
THE PREDICTIONS
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

ABSOLUTE RANKER 2

Score,UserID

64,lostemperor
57,Keyser Soze
56,OhioChessFan
~~~~
52,WinKing
51,Golden Executive
43,WannaBe
42,Diademas
37,Messiah
36,offramp
34,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

SQUARE RANKER 2

Score,UserID

722,lostemperor
712,Keyser Soze
673,OhioChessFan
~~~~
649,WinKing
621,Golden Executive
544,WannaBe
522,Diademas
505,Messiah
490,offramp
417,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

PAIR BETTING RANKER 2

Earnings,UserID

$42.60,Penguincw
$24.38,lostemperor
$12.06,Keyser Soze
~~~~
$0.32,Golden Executive
$-1.10,OhioChessFan
$-1.94,WinKing
$-2.12,WannaBe
$-15.98,Messiah
$-23.91,offramp
$-34.29,Diademas

Jan-18-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:

Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$10.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, WannaBe
$10.00,Esipenko-equal-Guijarro, WannaBe
$10.00,Esipenko-equal-VanForeest, WinKing
$10.00,Esipenko-equal-Wojtaszek, offramp
$10.00,Grandelius-above-Carlsen, Penguincw
$10.00,Grandelius-above-Caruana, Penguincw
$10.00,Grandelius-above-Giri, Penguincw
$10.00,Guijarro-equal-VanForeest, Golden Executive $10.00,Harikrishna-above-Duda, Penguincw
$10.00,Harikrishna-above-Firouzja, Penguincw
$10.00,Harikrishna-equal-VanForeest, WannaBe
$10.00,VachierLagrave-equal-VanForeest, lostemperor $10.00,VanForeest-equal-Wojtaszek, Golden Executive

Jan-18-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Tata Masters Newcomer Grandelius leading with two wins, closely expected by <Penguincw> and yours truly <lostemperor> albeit in the other game prediction contest :)
Jan-19-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS MASTERS ROUND 3 UPDATE<

Esipenko - Vachier-Lagrave 1/2
Grandelius - Harikrishna 0-1
Caruana - Duda 1/2
Giri - Donchenko 1/2
Wojtaszek - Van Foreest 1/2
Carlsen - Aryan Tari 1/2
Firouzja - Anton Guijarro 1-0

<standings:
1. Grandelius
1. Carlsen
1. Giri
1. Caruana
1. Harikrishna
6. Esipenko
6. VachierLagrave
6. Firouzja
6. Wojtaszek
6. VanForeest
11. Duda
11. Guijarro
11. Tari
14. Donchenko>
>
>

Jan-19-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS
THE PREDICTIONS
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

ABSOLUTE RANKER 3

Score,UserID

64,OhioChessFan
62,lostemperor
58,WinKing
~~~~
56,Golden Executive
50,Keyser Soze
50,WannaBe
45,Diademas
41,offramp
30,Messiah
20,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

SQUARE RANKER 3

Score,UserID

757,OhioChessFan
724,WinKing
708,lostemperor
~~~~
693,Golden Executive
638,WannaBe
624,Keyser Soze
600,Diademas
568,offramp
402,Messiah
317,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

PAIR BETTING RANKER

Earnings,UserID

$26.25,lostemperor
$15.19,OhioChessFan
$14.85,Penguincw
~~~~
$7.76,WinKing
$2.50,Keyser Soze
$0.36,Golden Executive
$-2.00,WannaBe
$-10.54,offramp
$-19.25,Diademas
$-35.12,Messiah

Jan-19-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$10.00,Carlsen-equal-Caruana, WannaBe
$10.00,Esipenko-equal-VanForeest, WinKing
$10.00,Esipenko-equal-Wojtaszek, offramp
$10.00,Firouzja-equal-VachierLagrave, Penguincw
$10.00,Harikrishna-above-Duda, Penguincw
$10.00,Harikrishna-above-Firouzja, Penguincw
$10.00,Harikrishna-above-VachierLagrave, Penguincw $10.00,VachierLagrave-equal-VanForeest, lostemperor $10.00,VanForeest-equal-Wojtaszek, Golden Executive

Jan-19-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Elvis is alive and kicking, gaining top spots in the absolute and square rankers and invincible Penguin bettor, toppled he is from his top spot by Yoda if only for a day :p
Jan-20-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Yesterday all draws, rankings unchanged with 9 rounds to go after this restday!
Jan-21-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I'm guessing the Grandelius win today will put Yoda in the lead in all 3 Rankers.
Jan-22-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <TATA STEEL CHESS MASTERS ROUND 5 UPDATE

<Round 4

Vachier-Lagrave - Anton Guijarro 1/2
Aryan - Firouzja 1/2
Van Foreest - Carlsen 1/2
Donchenko - Wojtaszek 1/2
Duda - Giri 1/2
Harikrishna - Caruana 1/2
Esipenko - Grandelius 1/2

Round 5

Grandelius - Vachier-Lagrave 1-0
Caruana - Esipenko 1/2
Giri - Harikrishna 1/2
Wojtaszek - Duda 1/2
Carlsen - Donchenko 1/2
Firouzja - Van Foreest 1/2
Anton - Aryan 1/2

<standings:
1. Grandelius
2. Carlsen
2. Giri
2. Caruana
2. Harikrishna
6. Esipenko
6. VanForeest
6. Firouzja
6. Wojtaszek
10. VachierLagrave
10. Duda
10. Guijarro
10. Tari
14. Donchenko>
>
>

Jan-22-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS
THE PREDICTIONS
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score,UserID

60,lostemperor
57,OhioChessFan
52,WinKing
~~~~
50,Golden Executive
45,WannaBe
43,Keyser Soze
41,Diademas
36,offramp
34,Messiah
29,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

SQUARE RANKER 5

Score,UserID

706,lostemperor
687,OhioChessFan
644,WinKing
~~~~
604,Golden Executive
564,Keyser Soze
547,WannaBe
518,Diademas
478,offramp
412,Messiah
385,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

PAIR BETTING RANKER 5

Earnings,UserID

$45.01,Penguincw
$23.74,lostemperor
$7.08,OhioChessFan
~~~~
$-0.35,WinKing
$-3.11,Keyser Soze
$-7.75,Golden Executive
$-10.11,WannaBe
$-15.93,Diademas
$-18.64,offramp
$-19.95,Messiah

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