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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Sep-13-21
♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>

Predict the final standings of tournaments!

TATASTELL CHESS MASTERS 2021
January 16
https://tatasteelchess.com/players/...

Format example to post your predictions

1. Carlsen
1. Caruana
3. Vachier-Lagrave
4. Giri
4. Firouzja
4. Duda
7. Harikrishna
8. Dubov
9. Wojtaszek
10. Guijaro
11. Esipenko
12. VanForeest
12. Grandelius
12. Tari

Good Luck!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:

For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).

In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).

The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.

Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.

The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!

Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.

Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.

Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!

or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>

Enjoy!


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙


<HALL <OF> FAME>

WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖

~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg

~~~~

♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw

~~~~~~

♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~

♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus

~~~~

♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa

~~~~

♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM

*may be incomplete

♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze


♙♙

♙♙♙

♙♙

>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

Chessgames.com Full Member

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7518 times to chessgames   [more...]
   Apr-28-21 lostemperor chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <Penguincw> showed he can also win another ranker again than his favorite Pair Bettings!! Still he also took that ranker in the process! Together with a second place in the Absolute ranker. <Golden Executive> won the Absolute Ranker!! <Aurora> (absolute ...
 
   Feb-01-21 Golden Executive chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive> and congratulations to <Elvis> for beating my a*s also this prediction contest for 1st at the 1-2-3 ranker! And to our North Pole <Penguincw> for winning two Rankers! Also the other prize winners!
 
   Jan-16-21 chessgames.com chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: <WinKing: Still nothing for Tata Steel from <chessgames>. Very disappointing.> I think chessgames.com is still in lockdown mode.
 
   Jan-16-21 OhioChessFan chessforum (replies)
 
lostemperor: No contest here?
 
   Jan-14-21 Kibitzer's Café (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ In absence of a tournament page here an invitation to join the Final Standings Prediction Contest at my forum for the Tata Steel Chess Masters 2021 starting January 16 (yes the tournament is not cancelled)! ♖♕♔ Participants: 1. ...
 
   Mar-23-20 Nepomniachtchi vs Ding Liren, 2020 (replies)
 
lostemperor: Ding missed a draw with 33. .. Rb6!?
 
   Mar-22-20 Nepomniachtchi vs Wang Hao, 2020 (replies)
 
lostemperor: Yes good game of Nepo. Favorite to win the candidates now though it is still a long way to go.
 
   Mar-13-20 World Championship Candidates (2020/21) (replies)
 
lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Join the Candidates' tournament Prediction's Contest by predicting the final standings at my forum
 
   Jan-27-20 Tata Steel Masters (2020) (replies)
 
lostemperor: Tata Steel Chess Final Standings Prediction Contest Winners: <OhioChessFan>♔♖, <rogge>♔♖, <alfamikewhiskey>♔ <cromat>♕♕♖, <wordfunph>♕, <Keyser Soze>♖, <paavoh>♖, ...
 
(replies) indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

Kibitzer's Corner
< Earlier Kibitzing  · PAGE 274 OF 274 ·  Later Kibitzing>
Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: TATA STEEL CHESS
THE PREDICTIONS FINAL

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

ABSOLUTE RANKER FINAL
Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 98

Score,UserID

♔60,OhioChessFan
♕54,lostemperor
♖47,WannaBe
~~~~
44,WinKing
40,Golden Executive
39,RATINGS
34,offramp
33,Messiah
31,Diademas
31,Keyser Soze
23,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

SQUARE RANKER FINAL
Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 910

Score,UserID

722,OhioChessFan♔
694,lostemperor♕
♖587,Golden Executive
~~~~
586,WannaBe
582,WinKing
562,RATINGS
491,Messiah
483,Diademas
470,Keyser Soze
435,offramp
355,Penguincw

♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖♖♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖

PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

♔$81.35,Penguincw
♕$24.88,OhioChessFan
♖$18.62,lostemperor
~~~~
$-3.25,Messiah
$-8.32,WannaBe
$-11.53,Golden Executive
$-20.25,Keyser Soze
$-21.31,WinKing
$-29.25,offramp
$-30.96,Diademas

Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Caruana-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Caruana-equal-Firouzja, offramp

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Esipenko-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Firouzja-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Giri-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Giri-equal-VanForeest, WannaBe

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Grandelius-equal-Tari, Golden Executive

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Harikrishna-above-Duda, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Harikrishna-above-VachierLagrave, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,Tari-above-Duda, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,VanForeest-above-Carlsen, Penguincw

JACKPOT!!
$10.00,VanForeest-above-Caruana, Penguincw

Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,Duda-above-Vachier, Messiah + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,Firouzja-above-Vachier, lostemperor + Messiah

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,Giri-above-Caruana, lostemperor + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,Grandelius-above-Vachier, lostemperor + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,Guijarro-equal-Wojtaszek, Golden Executive + OhioChessFan

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,Tari-above-Guijarro, OhioChessFan + WannaBe

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,Tari-above-VachierLagrave, Messiah + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,VanForeest-above-Duda, lostemperor + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,VanForeest-above-Firouzja, Messiah + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$5.00,VanForeest-above-Vachier, Messiah + Penguincw

Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Congratulations to <OhioChessFan> for winning the Absolute- and Square ranker leaving <lostemperor> with proper distance at bay!! Our super hare <WannaBe> silently rose to third place with <Golden Executive> in the Square Ranker!

<Penguincw> wins the Pair betting Ranker with 9 Jackpots!! Here <OhioChessFan> got ♕ before <lostemperor>!

Feb-01-21  Keyser Soze: Thanks for the fun, <lostemperor>. Congrats to all winners.

Damn, <ohio> kicked some serious buttt in this one. Cool

Cheers all

Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda.
Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Thanks <lostemperor> for a great contest. My horses just weren't quite fast enough to medal.

Congratulations to <OCF>(Double Crown) & <Penguincw> on taking top honors. <lostemperor> put up a great fight. A classic battle of back & forth. Congrats to the other medalists as well!

Always fun to play here!

Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  WannaBe: Thanks <LE>, surprised I got third...
Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Diademas: Thanks to Yoda and congratulations to <Ohio> and the 🐧 for making any sense of all this.

The only surprise for me was that I were not dead last in all categories. Tell me where to send the $30.96 I owe.

Feb-01-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Hooray for the gold. Congrats to <OCF> for getting top honours with the double crown. Thank you so much <lostemperor> for hosting this.

Hope to see you at Candidates.

Apr-21-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Hi <lostemperor>. Hope you're doing well.

The Candidates tournament is back in session. Luckily, nobody has to submit new predictions or whatever, since our old ones from a year ago are still there!

Apr-21-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: <Penguincw: Hi <lostemperor>. Hope you're doing well. The Candidates tournament is back in session. Luckily, nobody has to submit new predictions or whatever, since our old ones from a year ago are still there!>

Yep, you are right!

I hope everything is ok with <lostemperor>.

Here the standings after round 7, almost 13 months ago:

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 269 OF 273 · Later Kibitzing> Mar-26-20
Premium Chessgames Member lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER 7 Earnings,UserID

$14.48,Aurora
$12.05,Penguincw
$5.75,Count Wedgemore
~~~~
$3.65,Diademas
$2.72,scout118
$0.15,Robin01
$-1.25,lostemperor
$-1.25,sadosa
$-2.34,offramp
$-4.72,alfamikewhiskey
$-5.60,rogge
$-6.85,cromat
$-7.00,Golden Executive
$-9.80,OhioChessFan

Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

$14.00,Giri-equal-WangHao, Aurora

$14.00,Nepomniatchi-equal-VachierLagrave, Count Wedgemore

$7.00,Giri-above-Ding Liren, alfamikewhiskey + Robin01

$7.00,Giri-equal-Grischuk, rogge + sadosa

$7.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Ding Liren, Diademas + Penguincw

$7.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Grischuk, lostemperor + Penguincw

Mar-26-20
Premium Chessgames Member lostemperor: ♔♕♖♖♕♔♔♕♕♖♖♔ CANDIDATES THE PREDICTIONS ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID
15,Diademas
15,Penguincw
14,Aurora
14,offramp
14,scout118
~~~~
12,Golden Executive
12,sadosa
11,Count Wedgemore
11,cromat
11,OhioChessFan
11,Robin01
10,lostemperor
10,rogge
6,alfamikewhiskey

♔♕♖♖♕♔♔♕♕♖♖♔

SQUARE RANKER 7

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID
114,Penguincw
113,Diademas
108,Aurora
~~~~
106,scout118
100,Robin01
97,offramp
95,Golden Executive
92,Count Wedgemore
92,sadosa
91,cromat
84,lostemperor
82,OhioChessFan
70,rogge
64,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-22-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Thanks <Golden Executive>. Sorry I missed your contest but will continue the Final Standings Predictions results here!
Apr-23-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Golden Executive: Great <lostemperor>! Good to see everything is ok 👍
Apr-23-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: I'll be happy to avoid a Triple Clown. Did I really pick Ding to win this?
Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Ok here we go with the second half of the CANDIDATE tournament stopped March 26 because of the Corona restrictions! Here you can find the halfway results then User: lostemperor

<Penguincw> then leads the Square and Absolute ranker halfway. That together with <Diademas> with <Aurora> leading in the Pair bettings.

Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: FINAL STANDINGS CANDIDATE TOURNAMENT 2020-2021

Nepomniatchi became the challenger for the world title to Carlsen after a tight race!

Standings:

1. Nepomniatchi 8.5
2. VachierLagrave 8
3. Caruana 7.5
3. Giri
5. Grischuk 7
5. Ding Liren
7. Alekseenko 5.5
8. Wang Hao 5

Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: CANDIDATE TOURNAMENT THE PREDICTIONS

ABSOLUTE RANKER

Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32

Score,UserID

♔18,Golden Executive
♕17,Aurora
♕17,Penguincw
~~~~
16,Count Wedgemore
16,Diademas
16,offramp
16,scout118
15,OhioChessFan
15,sadosa
14,Robin01
12,cromat
11,alfamikewhiskey
11,rogge
10,lostemperor

Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER FINAL

Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168

Score,UserID

♔132,Penguincw
♕127,scout118
♖126,Aurora
~~~~
125,Diademas
124,Golden Executive
122,Count Wedgemore
118,offramp
116,sadosa
114,OhioChessFan
113,Robin01
107,cromat
89,lostemperor
86,rogge
77,alfamikewhiskey

Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER FINAL

Earnings,UserID

$13.21,Penguincw♔
♕$7.72,alfamikewhiskey
♖$4.81,Diademas
~~~~
$3.87,scout118
$3.26,lostemperor
$1.63,Aurora
$1.31,Robin01
$-1.18,offramp
$-3.05,Golden Executive
$-3.05,OhioChessFan
$-4.29,Count Wedgemore
$-5.69,cromat
$-7.09,sadosa
$-11.45,rogge

Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: Large Payoff Pair results:
Payoff,Pair result,Winners

JACKPOT!!
$14.00,Alekseenko-above-WangHao, alfamikewhiskey

Semi-Jackpot!
$7.00,Giri-above-DingLiren, alfamikewhiskey + Robin01

Semi-Jackpot!
$7.00,Nepomniatchi-above-DingLiren, Diademas + Penguincw

Semi-Jackpot!
$7.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Grischuk, lostemperor + Penguincw

$4.67,VachierLagrave-above-Giri, Aurora + offramp + scout118

$3.50,Nepomniatchi-above-Giri, Aurora + Diademas + Penguincw + scout118

.....

Missed Chanches:

$0.00,Caruana-equal-Giri, (0 winners)
$0.00,DingLiren-equal-Grischuk, (0 winners)
$0.00,Nepomniatchi-above-Caruana, (0 winners)
$0.00,VachierLagrave-above-Caruana, (0 winners)
$0.00,VachierLagrave-above-DingLiren, (0 winners)

Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  lostemperor: <Penguincw> showed he can also win another ranker again than his favorite Pair Bettings!! Still he also took that ranker in the process! Together with a second place in the Absolute ranker.

<Golden Executive> won the Absolute Ranker!!

<Aurora> (absolute ranker), <Scout118> (square ranker), <alfamikewhiskey> (pair bettings) took second places and bronze for <Diadamas>!

Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  OhioChessFan: Thanks Yoda.
Apr-28-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  Penguincw: Woo, I actually won a Ranker other than Betting Ranker. To be honest, I didn't think I could do it.

Now, I do wish I knew where I stand overall.

But hey, congrats to the other medalists, thank you so much <lostemperor> for finishing this tournament. Hope to see you next time, which may be Biel (Jul-Aug), Sinquefield (Aug) or Norway (Sep).

Apr-29-21
Premium Chessgames Member
  WinKing: Great show <lostemperor> as always!

Congrats to all the medal winners!

I have updated the Gold medal count in my forum. Just because I didn't play in this tournament doesn't mean I'm slackin' in my duties. ;)

Hope to see you all at the next event.

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