User Profile: lostemperor

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lostemperor
Member since Feb-18-03 · Last seen Feb-02-25

♔♕♖
<FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS' CONTEST FORUM>
Predict the final standings of Tata Steel tournament January 12
Format example to post your predictions
1.Caruana
1. Erigaisi
3. Gukesh
4. Abdusattorov
5. Wei Yi
5. Harikrishna
5. Praggnanandhaa
8. Giri
9. Keymer
10. Fedoseev
11.Van Foreest
12. Sarina
12. Warmerdam
12. Mendonca
Good Luck!
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Some years ago I came up with a new but simple system to calculate the final standings of a tournament including all players. This is how it goes:
For each correct standing you'll get a maximum amount of points. Each prediction deviation from the actual player standing in the tournament, will deduct one point from your total (ABSOLUTE RANKER).
In case of a shared player's standing the average standing counts (both actual and in your predictions).
The SQUARE RANKER, squares your predictions' deviations. Here only medals are awarded if the winner s is not the same person s as in the absolute ranker.
Same goes for the The PAIR BETTING RANKER compare all possible pair outcomes of the tournament participants.
The three best predictions will get Real Virtual Gold Silver and Bronze!
Note: only one set of medals is awarded (in the absolute ranker) unless another ranker produces a different winner.
Special thanks to <YouRang> who made a software to calculate these numbers.
Our new contest manager for game results prediction User: Golden Executive during the tournament also ([1-0], [1/2], [0-1])!
or predict the # of moves in User: ohiochessfan organized by <chessmoron>
Enjoy!
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<HALL <OF> FAME>
WannaBe 10♔ 5♕ 4♖
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔ ♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♖♖♖♖SwitchingQuylthulg
~~~~
♔♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♕♕♖♖♖YouRang
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♔♕♕♕♖Aurora
♔♔♔♔♕♕♖suenteus po 147
♔♔♔♔♖♖♖Penguincw
~~~~~~
♔♔♔♕♕♕♖♖♖lostemperor
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖♖♖chessmoron
♔♔♔♕♕♖♖♖rogge
♔♔♔♕♕♖cromat
♔♔♔♕♖Robin01
~~~~
♔♔♕♕♕♕WinKing
♔♔♕♕♕♖percyblakeney
♔♔♕♖♖♖yalie
♔♔♕♖wordfunph
♔♔♕♖Ragh
♔♔♕♖Ezzy
♔♔Golden Executive
♔♔SloVice
♔♔positionalgenius
♔♔amadeus
~~~~
♔♕♕♕♕♖♖OhioChessFan
♔♕♕♖Diademas
♔♕♖nimh
♔♕♖ahmadov
♔♕♖CHESSBOOKIE
♔♕Keysersoze
♔♕Where is my mind
♔♕Appaz
♔♖♖moronovich*
♔♖Golden Executive*
♔♖Montreal1666
♔♖Troewa
~~~~
♔Beholder
♔juan31
♔wtwz
♔Twinlark
♔SoUnwiseTheKnight B4
♔NGambit
♔benjinathan
♔DCP23
♔firebyrd
♔kellmano
♔Stonehenge
♔cu8sfan
♔larrewl
♔babakova
♔djmercury
♔mikejaqua
♔Joshka,
♔SnoopDogg
♔Like a GM
*may be incomplete
♔ Gold
♕ Silver
♖ Bronze
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>> Click here to see lostemperor's game collections.

   lostemperor has kibitzed 7714 times to chessgames [more...]

   Feb-02-25 lostemperor chessforum

lostemperor: <Keyser Soze>,<0ZeR0>,<Penguincw> won gold each! Congratulations!

   Apr-20-24 Golden Executive chessforum

lostemperor: It is fixed! I had an expert looking at it.

   Jan-18-24 OhioChessFan chessforum

lostemperor: Betcha you. Right damn

   Jan-11-24 Tata Steel Masters (2024)

lostemperor: ♔♕♖ Announcement ♔♕♖ Join the annual Tata Teel Chess final standings prediction contest at lostemperor chessforum 1. Ding 2. Nepomniachtchi 3. Firouzja 4, Giri 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Maghsoodloo 7. Vidit 8.Wei 9. Abdusattorov

   Feb-26-23 WR Chess Masters (2023)

lostemperor: The predictions' winners on the final standings of WR Chess on my forum <Penquincw>♔, <Golden Executive>♔, <Chesschronicle22>♕, <OhioChessFan>♕, <Messiah>♖

   Jan-30-23 Tata Steel Masters (2023)

lostemperor: Winners of the TATA STEEL CHESS 2023 FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTION'S CONTEST at my forum <Firouzjias>♔♔♖, <tuttifrutty>♔♕♖, <lostemperor>♕♕, <Messiah>♖

indicates a reply to the comment.

FINAL STANDINGS PREDICTIONS

< Earlier Kibitzing · PAGE 284 OF 285 · Later Kibitzing>
Apr-22-24		lostemperor: Here we go folks the final results of the Candidates tournament 2024!! Pity I saw it somewhere at the second round and missed the chance to the prediction contest. History in the making: Gukesh becomes the youngest Candidate for the title!! Final standings: 1. Gukesh 2. Nakamura 2. Nepomniatchi 2. Caruana 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Vidit 7. Firouzja 8. Abasov

Apr-22-24		lostemperor: Candidates the Predictions ♔♕♖ ABSOLUTE RANKER Score evaluation method: Absolute value of rank deviation Maximum score: 32 Score,UserID ♔24,Teyss ♕21,blade2012 ♖20,0ZeR0 ♖20,MAGNUS CARLSEN* ♖20,jsy ♖20,VictorVonDoom ♖20,whiteshark ~~~~ 18,Schwartz 17,Check It Out 17,OhioChessFan 16,Cassandro 14,Messiah 14,paavoh 10,Aurora 10,EvanTheTerrible 10,Penguincw 4,offramp *Predictions of Magnus Carlsen as given by <paavoh>

Apr-22-24		lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER Score evaluation method: Least Squares of rank deviation Maximum score: 168 Score,UserID 152,Teyss♔ 144,jsy♕ 140,0ZeR0♖ ~~~~~ 133,whiteshark 129,blade2012 128,VictorVonDoom 127,CHESSBOOKIE 126,Schwartz 121,Check It Out 116,Cassandro 103,OhioChessFan 101,paavoh 94,Messiah 86,Aurora 84,Penguincw 70,EvanTheTerrible 34,offramp

Apr-22-24		lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER Earnings,UserID ♔$13.59,blade2012 ♕$13.34,Penguincw ♖$12.92,Teyss ~~~~~ $7.16,Messiah $5.45,whiteshark $3.72,0ZeR0 $2.40,jsy $1.01,Schwartz $0.80,Check It Out $-1.35,Cassandro $-2.55,VictorVonDoom $-3.65,OhioChessFan $-5.20,paavoh $-12.12,Aurora $-12.48,EvanTheTerrible $-23.05, Payoff Pair results: Payoff,Pair result,Winners $8.00,Gukesh-above-Caruana, Messiah + Penguincw Semi-Jackpot! $8.00,Nakamura-equal-Nepomniatchi, blade2012 + whiteshark Semi-Jackpot! $8.00,Vidit-above-Firouzja, Penguincw + Teyss Semi-Jackpot! $5.33,Caruana-equal-Nakamura, blade2012 + Check It Out + Schwartz $5.33,Caruana-equal-Nepomniatchi, blade2012 + OhioChessFan + paavoh $5.33,Gukesh-above-Nepomniatchi, Cassandro + Messiah + Penguincw $4.00,Gukesh-above-Nakamura, 0ZeR0 + EvanTheTerrible + Messiah + Penguincw No Jackpots but no missed chances also!

Apr-22-24		lostemperor: Congratulations to all Prize winners and thank you all for participating and making this contest possible again!!

Apr-22-24		offramp: < lostemperor: SQUARE RANKER... 34 offramp> GAH!! I had great hopes to win this. After round 1 things went very badly (for me). My only small, transient victory: I predicted Naka to be right at the bottom. I think he was bottom of the table after Round 4. Back to the drawing board, Offie! Many thanks to <lostemperor>. I hope you find your emperor.

Apr-22-24		paavoh: Thanks <lostemperor> for running the show again, and congratulations to medalists! Not many who were brave/smart/knowledgeable/lucky enough to put Gukesh on top. Great performance by the youngster!

Apr-22-24		EvanTheTerrible: Wow, people made predictions for this? I wish I hadn't missed it! (Please don't look at the bottom of the standings)

Apr-22-24		Teyss: Hi lostemperor, Thanks for hosting this. Don't know what I prefer, finishing first or seeing <offramp> is last 😀 Don't really understand the PAIR BETTING RANKER but where do I cash in the $12.92? OK I'll directly ask offramp, no need to act as clearing house. I guess you'll be hosting a prediction contest for the WC also. Here is my prediction: <Gukesh wins>. Regardless if Ding plays or not. (Oh, it will be more detailed than this? Why is everything so complex?)

Apr-22-24		Teyss: Hi EvanTheTerrible, A reminder so you feel a bit better: lostemperor chessforum (kibitz #7229) Yes actually Messiah predicted Gukesh first. A stopped clock is right twice a day.

Apr-22-24		offramp: <lostemperor: PAIR BETTING RANKER ...$-23.05,...> I think my name dropped off the scoreboard. No big deal. I am out looking for your Emperor.

Apr-22-24		OhioChessFan: Thanks <le> I had zero chance after 3 rounds. I can't believe anyone finished behind me.

Apr-23-24		0ZeR0: Many thanks for hosting this, <lostemperor>. gg everyone and congrats to the winners. Needless to say, it was quite the ride.

Apr-28-24		Penguincw: Thanks <lostemperor> for hosting this. Glad to come away with a silver. Congrats to the 5 bronze medalists for the Absolute Ranker.

Jan-01-25		Penguincw: Happy New Year, <lostemperor>.

Jan-10-25		lostemperor: Thanks <Penguincw>. Best wishes to all this year!

Jan-10-25		lostemperor: With a new World Champion this year, I will be holding annual the Tata steel Chess tournament Final Standings Prediction Contest 2025! 1. Caruana 1. Erigaisi 3. Gukesh 4. Abdusattorov 5. Wei Yi 5. Harikrishna 5. Praggnanandhaa 8. Giri 9. Keymer 10. Fedoseev 11.Van Foreest 12. Sarana 12. Warmerdam 12. Mendonca Put the players in the order you think they will finish in above mentioned format example https://tatasteelchess.com/en/maste...

Jan-11-25		Open Defence: Hi <lostemperor> :) My predictions: 1. Caruana 1. Giri 2. Erigaisi 2. Gukesh 3. Praggnanandhaa 3. Keymer 4. Fedoseev 4. Harikrishna 4. Abdusattorov 4. Wei Yi 5. Van Foreest 6. Sarana 6. Warmerdam 7. Mendonca

Jan-11-25		whiteshark: <OD> Would you go along with the following adjustment of your numbers? 1. Caruana 1. Giri 3. Erigaisi 3. Gukesh 5. Praggnanandhaa 5. Keymer 7. Fedoseev 7. Harikrishna 7. Abdusattorov 7. Wei Yi 11. Van Foreest 12. Sarana 12. Warmerdam 14. Mendonca ;)

Jan-13-25		Open Defence: sure <whiteshark> thanks :)

Jan-15-25		Cassandro: My prediction attempt 1. Harikrishna 2. Caruana 3. Erigaisi 3. Gukesh 5. Abdusattorov 5. Fedoseev 5. Keymer 5. Wei Yi 9. Giri 10.Pragnanandhaa 10.Van Foreest 12.Sarana 12.Warmerdam 14.Mendonca

Jan-15-25		Keyser Soze: Hi there! My predictions . Thnks! 1. Caruana 2. Gukesh 3. Erigaisi 4. Harikrishna 5. Wei Yi 6. Abdusattorov 7. Giri 8. Praggnanandhaa 9. Fedoseev 10. Keymer 11. Sarana 12. Van Foreest 13. Warmerdam 14. Mendonca

Jan-16-25		whiteshark: <lostemperor>, thanks for organizing another phenomenal Final Standings Prediction Contest here!! <Tata Steel Chess 2025>, here we go: 1. Erigaisi 1. Abdusattorov 3. Wei Yi 4. Caruana 5. Gukesh 5. Keymer 5. Giri 8. Praggnanandhaa 9. Harikrishna 10. Fedoseev 11. Mendonca 12. Sarana 12. Warmerdam 12. Van Foreest And now even <more luck> to all the other participants!!!

Jan-17-25		Penguincw: Real predictions, upside-down maybe next time: 1. Caruana 2. Gukesh 3. Wei Yi 4. Van Foreest 5. Giri 6. Harikrishna 6. Praggnanandhaa 8. Fedoseev 9. Abdusattorov 9. Keymer 11. Mendonca 12. Erigaisi 13. Warmerdam 14. Sarana

Jan-18-25		0ZeR0: I'll give it a whirl: 1. Gukesh 2. Erigaisi 3. Caruana 4. Wei Yi 5. Praggnanandhaa 6. Harikrishna 7. Abdusattorov 8. Giri 9. Fedoseev 10. Van Foreest 11. Keymer 12. Warmerdam 13. Sarana 14. Mendonca

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